Pre-tourney Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#134
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#152
Pace71.6#56
Improvement+4.3#27

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#134
Improvement+1.2#110

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#134
Improvement+3.2#36
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four67.1% n/a n/a
First Round74.6% n/a n/a
Second Round2.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 57   @ South Carolina L 56-81 20%     0 - 1 -14.0 +5.5 +5.5
  Nov 20, 2014 95   @ Northwestern L 67-69 30%     0 - 2 +5.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Nov 22, 2014 27   @ Northern Iowa L 49-66 12%     0 - 3 -2.0 +7.5 +7.5
  Nov 25, 2014 337   Liberty W 77-57 91%     1 - 3 +6.8 -6.6 -6.6
  Nov 26, 2014 248   Elon W 72-65 75%     2 - 3 +2.1 -2.4 -2.4
  Dec 03, 2014 330   @ Bethune-Cookman W 63-56 85%     3 - 3 -2.3 -4.6 -4.6
  Dec 06, 2014 38   @ Purdue W 73-70 15%     4 - 3 +16.1 +6.6 +6.6
  Dec 15, 2014 250   Tennessee Tech L 80-82 82%     4 - 4 -9.8 -3.9 -3.9
  Dec 17, 2014 82   @ Florida St. L 77-93 27%     4 - 5 -7.5 +4.3 +4.3
  Dec 19, 2014 350   @ Florida A&M W 83-65 96%     5 - 5 -0.2 -9.1 -9.1
  Dec 22, 2014 22   @ Iowa L 70-80 10%     5 - 6 +5.9 +7.9 +7.9
  Dec 29, 2014 250   @ Tennessee Tech L 84-87 65%     5 - 7 -5.1 -1.0 -1.0
  Dec 31, 2014 317   @ Austin Peay L 60-65 80%     5 - 8 -12.0 -3.5 -3.5
  Jan 02, 2015 58   @ Alabama L 61-76 20%     5 - 9 -4.0 +5.5 +5.5
  Jan 10, 2015 329   @ Jacksonville W 86-63 85%     6 - 9 1 - 0 +13.8 -4.6 -4.6
  Jan 14, 2015 175   Florida Gulf Coast W 80-64 71%     7 - 9 2 - 0 +12.4 -1.8 -1.8
  Jan 17, 2015 333   @ Stetson W 80-65 87%     8 - 9 3 - 0 +5.1 -5.0 -5.0
  Jan 22, 2015 244   @ Northern Kentucky W 74-66 64%     9 - 9 4 - 0 +6.2 -0.9 -0.9
  Jan 24, 2015 294   @ Lipscomb W 75-66 73%     10 - 9 5 - 0 +4.7 -2.2 -2.2
  Jan 29, 2015 336   Kennesaw St. W 86-67 94%     11 - 9 6 - 0 +3.1 -8.0 -8.0
  Jan 31, 2015 160   South Carolina Upstate L 74-79 68%     11 - 10 6 - 1 -7.9 -1.5 -1.5
  Feb 06, 2015 329   Jacksonville W 77-50 93%     12 - 10 7 - 1 +12.0 -7.5 -7.5
  Feb 12, 2015 160   @ South Carolina Upstate L 63-80 47%     12 - 11 7 - 2 -14.2 +1.4 +1.4
  Feb 14, 2015 336   @ Kennesaw St. W 67-51 87%     13 - 11 8 - 2 +5.8 -5.1 -5.1
  Feb 19, 2015 294   Lipscomb W 93-78 87%     14 - 11 9 - 2 +4.9 -5.0 -5.0
  Feb 21, 2015 244   Northern Kentucky W 88-69 82%     15 - 11 10 - 2 +11.4 -3.8 -3.8
  Feb 25, 2015 175   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 76-62 49%     16 - 11 11 - 2 +16.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Feb 28, 2015 333   Stetson W 86-71 94%     17 - 11 12 - 2 -0.7 -7.8 -7.8
  Mar 03, 2015 333   Stetson W 81-67 94%     18 - 11 -1.7 -7.8 -7.8
  Mar 05, 2015 294   Lipscomb W 71-57 87%     19 - 11 +3.9 -5.0 -5.0
  Mar 08, 2015 160   South Carolina Upstate W 63-57 68%     20 - 11 +3.1 -1.5 -1.5
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.9 0.0 0.7 7.6 91.7
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.7 7.6 91.7